It feels like the wording of the question could be swaying the responses?

In a hypothetical 2024 Presidential match-up between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump who would you vote for at this time?

It’s all but guaranteed that this will be the match up in November, it’s not really a hypothetical anymore. Previous polls had the question worded when Biden was still running, so it made sense it was a hypothetical. It’d be interesting to see if other polls with differently worded questions yield different results.

Also, interesting results from this question:

Although you are undecided, which candidate do you lean toward?

In AZ and WI, the undecided voters are leaning very favorably to Harris, about 10% points. Trump only leads the undecided voters by 5% points in PA and MI, with GA being evenly split in the undecided vote. Still though, the Combined Presidential Vote is basically evenly split in each of these states based on the polls.

It really seems like it’ll be a toss up and will come down to getting the people who aren’t sure they’re going to vote to be motivated enough to vote.