Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
projects.fivethirtyeight.com
538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.

For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes. The model gives Harris a 48-in-100 chance.

  • Lauchs@lemmy.world
    38·
    2 months ago

    Yeah, it’s kind of amazing.

    If there’s a good poll for Kamala, it’s upvotes to the moon. If it’s a good one from trump, voted to the underworld.

    That sort of hive mind, shut out anything I dislike attitude is the same attitude that makes half the country ignore any and all criticism of trump.

    • reddig33@lemmy.world
      3·
      2 months ago

      I think you’ll find the same number of people saying that polls are meaningless and to just vote in any of these “poll says” threads.

      • Lauchs@lemmy.world
        14·
        2 months ago

        Absolutely but polls one way get huge upvotes and polls the other get huge downvotes.